Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 76.5%
Prognostiker
23
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet24. Nov. 25, 20:50 UTC31. Dez. 29, 15:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
NASA confirms aliens before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a human control in real time a humanoid robot on the surface of Mars before 2040 using VR technology?
Manifold Marketswill india have a mars space mission in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill a human walk on the moon again before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if any of the next four Starliner flights carry crew.
- The market resolves NO if all four flights are uncrewed.
- Resolution will be determined by official NASA or Boeing announcements regarding crew assignments for each flight.
- The market resolves NO if Starliner is cancelled without flying four more times.
- The next Starliner flight is scheduled for no earlier than April 2026 as a cargo mission, pending additional tests and certification.
