Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 92.1%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet8. Mai 26, 05:50 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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PolymarketWill I think OpenAI's first hardware product is a flop?
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Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketTop AI model in September?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Anthropic PBC officially announces, releases, or opens for pre-order a physical consumer hardware product (e.g., dedicated AI wearable, smart device, or robotics hardware intended for direct consumer use) on or before December 31, 2026.
- Official announcements via Anthropic’s company blog (https://www.anthropic.com/news), press releases, or confirmed statements from Anthropic leadership serve as the source of truth.
- If no such product is announced by the end of 2026, the market resolves to NO.
- Anthropic is an AI safety and research company primarily focused on developing large language models like the Claude series.
- As of May 2026, the company has primarily operated as a software-first organization, providing access to its models via API and its web-based chat interface.
Offene Märkte
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-2.0pt59.8%
- 2027-8.0pt30.8%
- 2026+1.0pt9.3%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 225.903,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 156.962,9 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,4 Mio. €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.5pt58.1%
- ChatGPT+1.4pt26.7%
- Grok-2.4pt5.7%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+6.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+7.0pt9%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+6.0pt79.1%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.8%
- Gemini2.7%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 348.290,1 €
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Anthropic announce a consumer hardware product in 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 92% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Anthropic announce a consumer hardware product in 2026? entschieden?
- Will Anthropic announce a consumer hardware product in 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Anthropic announce a consumer hardware product in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria