Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 92.1%
Prognostiker
16
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert8. Mai 26, 05:50 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
PolymarketWill we see analog accelerators in consumer hardware by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill I think OpenAI's first hardware product is a flop?
Manifold MarketsWhen will OpenAI's first consumer hardware device be released? (Jony Ive Sam Altman IO) 🤖📱👀
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Anthropic PBC officially announces, releases, or opens for pre-order a physical consumer hardware product (e.g., dedicated AI wearable, smart device, or robotics hardware intended for direct consumer use) on or before December 31, 2026.
- Official announcements via Anthropic’s company blog (https://www.anthropic.com/news), press releases, or confirmed statements from Anthropic leadership serve as the source of truth.
- If no such product is announced by the end of 2026, the market resolves to NO.
- Anthropic is an AI safety and research company primarily focused on developing large language models like the Claude series.
- As of May 2026, the company has primarily operated as a software-first organization, providing access to its models via API and its web-based chat interface.
