Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 56.8%
Prognostiker
36
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 37 Minuten
25. Mai 25, 20:34 UTC31. Dez. 27, 21:32 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the OpenAI hardware device be a portable puck that sees, speaks, and moves?
Manifold MarketsBy 2028, will I think OpenAI has been net-good for the world?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
PolymarketWill Anthropic announce a consumer hardware product in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill I think OpenAI was being honest about their structure in 2025?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRegeln
Examples of flops: Humane AI pin, Rabbit R1, Google Glass.
- Resolves N/A if no hardware product before 2028.
- Update 2025-05-26 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has stated they are intentionally not defining "flop" further.
- Resolution will be based on their subjective judgment, using the standard of "I'll know it when I see it".
