Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 71.3%
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Veraltet17. Apr. 24, 02:06 UTC2. Jan. 75, 07:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will humans visit the Outer Solar System before Halley's Comet returns?
Manifold Marketswill human ever live outside the solar system before the 22nd century?
Manifold MarketsWill a new planet be discovered in our solar system by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
LimitlessLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
This question will resolve to Yes if either a craft or a person accomplishes what could fairly be called a circumnavigation of another object in the Solar System before January 1st 2075.
- For example, if a person were to land on an asteroid and walk completely around it, that would resolve to Yes.
- If a rover were to do the same thing, that would also be Yes.
- If a balloon/plane/helicopter were to float or fly completely around a planet or moon with an atmosphere, that would also be Yes.
- Merely orbiting an object would not count.
- Ambiguous cases like a person walking around a small protuberance on an asteroid instead of the main body would also resolve to No.
Offene Märkte
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 103.065,4 €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 57.371,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 57.371,5 €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 817.857 €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will an object in the Solar System other than Earth be circumnavigated by 2075??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 71% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will an object in the Solar System other than Earth be circumnavigated by 2075? entschieden?
- Will an object in the Solar System other than Earth be circumnavigated by 2075? soll am 2. Januar 2075 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will an object in the Solar System other than Earth be circumnavigated by 2075? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This question will resolve to Yes if either a craft or a person accomplishes what could fairly be called a circumnavigation of another object in the Solar System before January 1st 2075.