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Daten vom 26.10.2026, 02:41 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
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Veraltet15. Mai 26, 17:35 UTC31. Dez. 39, 23:59 UTC
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Which Scottish Spaceport will see the first successful orbital launch?
Manifold MarketsWho will conduct the last orbital launch of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX's Starship Superheavy launch vehicle reach 500 total successful launches by Jan 1st 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill at least 20% of the vehicles in either the U.S.A., China or the EU use Vehicle-to-Grid (V2G) technology by 2030?
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketFrance declares state of emergency by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that a European-designed and/or European-operated launch vehicle reaches orbit before January 1st 2040, with every propulsive stage used on that flight having previously flown on an earlier spaceflight.
- “European” means the vehicle is primarily developed or operated by an organisation headquartered in Europe, including ESA member states, the UK, EU countries, or European commercial launch companies.
- A flight counts even if the stages are not recovered again afterward, as long as all stages used to reach orbit had already flown before.
- Test flights count if they reach orbit.
- Suborbital flights do not count.
- Resolves NO if no such flight has occurred before January 1st 2040.