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Veraltet19. Nov. 25, 00:05 UTC1. Jan. 30, 23:56 UTC
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[Granular] When Will the AI Bubble Pop?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an AI bubble before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an AI bubble before 2030?
Manifold MarketsAI bubble burst by which date?
PolymarketWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketTop AI model in September?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves YES if overvaluation of AI related stocks is one significant cause of the next severe and prolonged economic downturn.
- Resolves NO if there is not any AI "bubble pop" or if it does not impact the greater economy in a significant enough way.
- Market will extend until the next depression is clearly established and causes are analyzed by at least 10 reputable publications.
- Classification of a depression will be evaluated based on a majority of reputable news sources and relevant experts.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AI_bubble
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_depression
Offene Märkte
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 224.720,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 160.486,9 €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 344.925,6 €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will an AI bubble pop cause the next depression??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 57% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will an AI bubble pop cause the next depression? entschieden?
- Will an AI bubble pop cause the next depression? soll am 1. Januar 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will an AI bubble pop cause the next depression? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES if overvaluation of AI related stocks is one significant cause of the next severe and prolonged economic downturn.