Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 74.5%
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binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
9. Sept. 26, 20:49 UTC31. Dez. 50, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the Riemann Hypothesis be solved before the Collatz Conjecture?
Manifold MarketsAll Millennium Prize Problems solved before May 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill two Millennium Prize problems be solved in the same year?
Manifold MarketsHow many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
PolymarketAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketOpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if all seven Millennium Prize Problems are officially resolved before the Collatz Conjecture is officially resolved.
- This market will resolve to NO if the Collatz Conjecture is officially resolved before all seven Millennium Prize Problems are officially resolved.
- Definitions and Rules:
- Millennium Prize Problems: The seven problems designated by the Clay Mathematics Institute in 2000:
- Poincaré conjecture (officially resolved)
Offene Märkte
AIPOLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+24.5pt89%
- 2026+59.0pt82%
- September 30, 2026+56.0pt63%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 93.738,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 59.491 €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.9pt58.1%
- ChatGPT+1.0pt22.9%
- Grok+3.2pt8.6%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,2 Mio. €
POLYMARKETOpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+53.0pt93%
- 2026+53.5pt73%
- September 30, 2026+51.5pt57%
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.25%-7.0pt88%
- Above 2.45%79%
- Above 2.6%+16.0pt56%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 60.772,6 €
POLYMARKETWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Hodge Conjecture50.5%
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer27.1%
- No solution by Dec 31, 202710.3%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 32.328,3 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,4 Mio. €
- Tencent market share this week
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved before the Collatz Conjecture?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 75% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved before the Collatz Conjecture entschieden?
- Will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved before the Collatz Conjecture soll am 31. Dezember 2050 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will all Millennium Prize Problems be solved before the Collatz Conjecture abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria