Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 81.8%
Prognostiker
1
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert16. Sept. 26, 05:59 UTC31. Dez. 99, 11:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Chatgpt-type Chatbots become permanent part of our daily lives before 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill Chatgpt-type chatbots become permanent in our lives permanently before 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill Chatgpt-type chatbots become extinct before 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill AI Chatbots become extinct in 9999?
Manifold MarketsWill Daylight Saving Time become permanent?
KalshiWill Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, at any point before December 31, 2099, a reputable global statistical, polling, or research organization (such as the International Telecommunication Union (ITU), Pew Research Center, Gallup, or GSMA) publishes a report indicating that:
- Daily Usage: At least 70% of the global population (or 85% of the population in major developed markets like the US or EU) uses conversational AI chatbots or assistants on a daily basis.
- Ubiquitous Integration: Generative conversational AI assistants are natively integrated into the standard global mobile operating systems (such as iOS, Android, or their direct successors) and are utilized daily by at least 80% of active internet users globally.
- If no such threshold has been verified and officially reported by December 31, 2099, the market will resolve to NO.
- Key Clarifications: