Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2027?
KIOne-OffUnterhaltung1JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 74%
Prognostiker
23
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet7. Apr. 24, 15:14 UTC1. Jan. 28, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a video game involving LLM dialogue be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2028?
Manifold MarketsBest-selling PC game at the end of 2027
Manifold MarketsTop U.S. Selling Vinyl Album: 2026
KalshiTop U.S. Selling Album (Physical and Digital Sales Combined): 2026
KalshiTop U.S. Selling Digital Song: 2026
KalshiRegeln
Resolves YES if some video-game that released this year or later gets into the top 10 in the List of best-selling video games, according to Wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_best-selling_video_games.
- Must be top 10 at any time before market close (EOY 2027).
- @/Bayesian/will-a-video-game-released-after-20-be021261544d
- @/Bayesian/will-a-video-game-released-after-20-0d580bfd0bb9 @/Bayesian/will-a-video-game-released-after-20-c53f4ba5e055 (this one) @/Bayesian/will-a-video-game-released-after-20
- @/Bayesian/will-a-video-game-involving-llm-dia
Offene Märkte
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 135.247,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 102.709,4 €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 324.994,1 €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 74% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2027? entschieden?
- Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2027? soll am 1. Januar 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will a video game released after 2023 be a top 10 best-selling game of all time, by EOY 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES if some video-game that released this year or later gets into the top 10 in the List of best-selling video games, according to Wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_best-selling_video_games.