Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 73.6%
Prognostiker
81
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Stunden
Veraltet27. Sept. 23, 04:22 UTC1. Jan. 33, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
This July the first woman to receive a uterus transplant outside a clinical trial gave birth.
- This market resolves YES if a trans woman receives a uterus transplant and successfully gives birth before 2033.
- This market resolves no if that does not happen.
- Definitions:
- For the purposes of this market a trans woman is a woman who was assigned male at birth and was born without a uterus.
- For the woman to successfully give birth she must 1) carry the pregnancy to the point of fetal viability (23/24 weeks) and 2) survive.
