Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 92.2%
Prognostiker
17
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet31. März 26, 14:50 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Joe Biden die before the 2028 presidential election (Nov. 7 2028)?
Manifold MarketsWill Joe Biden die before Donald Trump?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Joe Biden die?
Manifold MarketsWill it be reported that Joe Biden used Ambien before the 2024 presidential debate?
KalshiWill a bill curbing pharmaceutical monopolies become law?
KalshiHeidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Joe Biden dies at any point during 2026 (January 1 - December 31, 2026).
- Resolution will be determined by major news sources reporting his death.
- This market resolves NO if Biden survives through December 31, 2026.
- As of January 4, 2026, Joe Biden is 83 years old, having been born on November 20, 1942.
- Biden left the Oval Office on January 20, 2025.
Offene Märkte
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- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-2.0pt15.2%
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+38 weitere Ergebnisse
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Joe Biden die this year??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 92% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Joe Biden die this year? entschieden?
- Will Joe Biden die this year? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Joe Biden die this year? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria