Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 93.9%
Prognostiker
20
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
31. März 26, 14:50 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Joe Biden die before the 2028 presidential election (Nov. 7 2028)?
Manifold MarketsWill Joe Biden die before Donald Trump?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Joe Biden die?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump or Joe Biden die before Jan 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill it be reported that Joe Biden used Ambien before the 2024 presidential debate?
KalshiMedicaid requires employment (work requirement) in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if Joe Biden dies at any point during 2026 (January 1 - December 31, 2026).
- Resolution will be determined by major news sources reporting his death.
- This market resolves NO if Biden survives through December 31, 2026.
- As of January 4, 2026, Joe Biden is 83 years old, having been born on November 20, 1942.
- Biden left the Oval Office on January 20, 2025.
