Will a publicly known AI model achieve an 80% time horizon of 3 weeks by April 2027?

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Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will a publicly known AI model achieve an 80% time horizon of 3 weeks by April 2027??

Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 75.9% (Stand: 31. Oktober 2026).

Wann wird Will a publicly known AI model achieve an 80% time horizon of 3 weeks by April 2027? entschieden?

Will a publicly known AI model achieve an 80% time horizon of 3 weeks by April 2027? soll am 31. März 2027 entschieden werden.

Wie wird Will a publicly known AI model achieve an 80% time horizon of 3 weeks by April 2027? abgerechnet?

Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This Question resolves YES if METR makes it known publicly that an AI model has an 80% time horizon of 3 weeks.

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