Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 57.9%
Prognostiker
9
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
1. Nov. 26, 11:01 UTC31. Dez. 39, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will another Millennium prize problem be solved before a human steps on Mars?
Manifold MarketsWill Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill a Millennium Prize Problem be solved in November 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketWhich Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
KalshiRegeln
This market resolves YES if a human, or team of humans, are credited with solving one of the remaining millennium prize problems.
- The use of public or semi-public AI tools are allowed.
- Example of Semi-public: Daybreak blue, allowed Internal OpenAI model that regular people cannot touch, not allowed
- The five eligible problems for this market are:
- The Riemann Hypothesis
- Yang–Mills Existence and Mass Gap