![Will a human land on the moon by this [YEAR]?](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2Flastuserhere%252Fe0f90ec98c52.jpg&w=128&q=80)
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
2034 88.9%Führend unter 11 Optionen
2034 88.9%Prognostiker
63
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet10. Jan. 24, 09:22 UTC30. Dez. 33, 19:30 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will a human land on the moon before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a human land on the moon by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Starship reach space in 2023? x Will a human land on the moon by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhen will a human land on the moon Io?
Manifold MarketsWill a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail?
KalshiWill Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
KalshiRegeln
Once a human lands on the moon in year X, all the years after the year X will resolve to YES as well.
- The "human" landing on the "moon" must be a safe landing in the sense that the human lands on the moon alive.
- That's all that matters.
- i will resolve the 2024 option soon after the creation of the market, as it was only to create continuity.
