Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 88.2%
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4
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
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Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet2. Jan. 26, 11:58 UTC2. Jan. 27, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will 7 or more US banks fail in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill 10 or more US banks fail in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill 6 or more US banks fail in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich banks will fail by end of 2026?
PolymarketWhich central banks will hike before 2027?
KalshiWhich banks will take Anthropic public?
KalshiRegeln
This prediction market is about the failure of US banks in the year 2026.
- The outcome will be determined by the FDIC's "Failed Bank List" (https://www.fdic.gov/bank-failures/failed-bank-list).
- This market will be resolved as YES if there are 8 or more records in "Failed Bank List" that have year 2026 in the column "Closing Date".
- This will be resolved YES shortly after such condition is met.
- This market will be resolved as NO if, at the beginning of 2027, there are fewer than 8 records with a "Closing Date" in 2026 on the "Failed Bank List".
- Author betting rules
Offene Märkte
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+1.0pt86%
- Yes-1.0pt14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 12,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 180.513,6 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jan 1, 2028-14.0pt37%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-13.0pt36%
- Before Jul 1, 2027-9.0pt32%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T21.2%
- $1.75T–$2.0T20.2%
- $1.5T–$1.75T19.2%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 105.114,9 €
KALSHIHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
- At least 3+21.0pt84%
- At least 267%
- At least 4+13.0pt57%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Will marijuana be rescheduled?
- Who will successfully take over Warner Brothers?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by September 30?
- Weed rescheduled by which date?
- Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
- SpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
- OpenAI’s valuation end of October 2026?
- Will Wyoming create a Digital Asset Authority?
- LSU to leave the SEC before 2027?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will 8 or more US banks fail in 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 88% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will 8 or more US banks fail in 2026? entschieden?
- Will 8 or more US banks fail in 2026? soll am 2. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will 8 or more US banks fail in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This prediction market is about the failure of US banks in the year 2026.