Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 87.9%
Prognostiker
5
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet2. Jan. 26, 11:58 UTC2. Jan. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will 9 or more US banks fail in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill 8 or more US banks fail in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill 6 or more US banks fail in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich banks will fail by end of 2026?
PolymarketWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
KalshiWill Canva’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRegeln
This prediction market is about the failure of US banks in the year 2026.
- The outcome will be determined by the FDIC's "Failed Bank List" (https://www.fdic.gov/bank-failures/failed-bank-list).
- This market will be resolved as YES if there are 7 or more records in "Failed Bank List" that have year 2026 in the column "Closing Date".
- This will be resolved YES shortly after such condition is met.
- This market will be resolved as NO if, at the beginning of 2027, there are fewer than 7 records with a "Closing Date" in 2026 on the "Failed Bank List".
- Author betting rules
Offene Märkte
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.8pt98%
- $25M+1.6pt96%
- $50M+9.4pt94%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 963.716,1 €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+38.5pt96%
- 65-89-29.6pt4%
- <40-24.4pt0%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199+1.0pt19.8%
- 160-179+5.0pt18.8%
- 200-219-1.0pt16.8%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA-1.0pt79%
- Apple-0.6pt13%
- Alphabet7%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIIllinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- Above 87.5 TWh97%
- Above 92.5 TWh+3.0pt95%
- Above 90.0 TWh95%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 118.200,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 189.534,1 €
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- What will Chewy say during their next earnings call?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- Variational FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Chewy active customers in Q2
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will 7 or more US banks fail in 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 88% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will 7 or more US banks fail in 2026? entschieden?
- Will 7 or more US banks fail in 2026? soll am 2. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will 7 or more US banks fail in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This prediction market is about the failure of US banks in the year 2026.