Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 85%
Prognostiker
10
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 58 Minuten
Verzogert2. Jan. 26, 11:59 UTC2. Jan. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will 7 or more US banks fail in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill 10 or more US banks fail in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill 8 or more US banks fail in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich banks will fail by end of 2026?
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KalshiRegeln
This prediction market is about the failure of US banks in the year 2026.
- The outcome will be determined by the FDIC's "Failed Bank List" (https://www.fdic.gov/bank-failures/failed-bank-list).
- This market will be resolved as YES if there are 9 or more records in "Failed Bank List" that have year 2026 in the column "Closing Date".
- This will be resolved YES shortly after such condition is met.
- This market will be resolved as NO if, at the beginning of 2027, there are fewer than 9 records with a "Closing Date" in 2026 on the "Failed Bank List".
- Author betting rules