Aktuelle Community-Prognose
No UBI 75.8%Führend unter 4 Optionen
No UBI 75.8%Prognostiker
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
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Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet29. Dez. 23, 02:33 UTC1. Jan. 40, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Conditional on Mass Unemployment due to AI in the US, which happens first?
Manifold MarketsWill things basically be fine regarding job loss and unemployment due to AI in the next several years?
Manifold MarketsIf the U.S. unemployment doesn't exceed 30% due to AI before 2040, which of these will be major reasons why?
Manifold MarketsWill AI cause mass unemployment... by 2030 ?
Manifold MarketsHow high will the US national average gas price get in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US economy still be "normal" in each of the following ways on February 14, 2029?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
UBI Policy Levels:
- Utopian: Equal to or greater than the top 90% annual income in 2023.
- Median: Equal to the median national income in 2023.
- Minimum Wage: Equal to the legal minimum wage in 2023.
- Resolution Criteria:
- Resolves positively for the first universal basic income (UBI) scenario that most closely matches the policy officially adopted in the US or UK (after a 'resolves after' condition is met).
