Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseThe Democratic Party 78.8%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Prognostiker
142
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet11. Nov. 23, 12:15 UTC8. Nov. 28, 04:59 UTC
Trends
0.1%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which US political party will be the more "pro-AI" party at the time of the 2028 presidential debates?
Manifold MarketsWhich political party wins the US presidency in 2028?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk creates political party before Trump presidency ends?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk create a political party in the US by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
This is a "vibes" market not a policy analysis market.
- So things that indicate a YES would be one party's leaders talking about the dangers of AI while the other party says we need to race to beat China, regardless of the actual contents of legislation, regulations, orders, etc. I should hope this will be obvious by market close.
- This market will not resolve early, nor be extended.
Offene Märkte
ChinaPOLYMARKETXi Jinping out before 2027?
- No+0.2pt96%
- Yes-0.2pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 11,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 40.443,3 €
POLYMARKETChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?
- No+0.5pt73.3%
- Yes-0.5pt26.7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 384.162,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 28.351 €
POLYMARKETValorant: Bilibili Gaming vs KeepBest Gaming (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs
- Handicap: KBG (-1.5) vs Bilibili Gaming (+1.5)+59.5pt100%
- 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 19.5+49.5pt100%
- 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 20.5+50.0pt100%
KALSHIChina vs Puerto Rico
- China+1.0pt78.4%
- Puerto Rico21.6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 25.410,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 24.906,4 €
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 35,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 22.262,1 €
POLYMARKETWorlds 2026 Winning Region
- LCK (South Korea)+0.5pt66%
- LPL (China)25.2%
- LEC (Europe / EMEA)-0.1pt5.8%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Unsettled Resentment vs. TEC Esports
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 10?
- China vs Puerto Rico: Spread
- Valorant: TEC Esports vs Unsettled Resentment (BO3) - China Evolution Series Act 3 Playoffs
- Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
- Puerto Rico vs. China
- Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Top Chinese AI Company week of September 14th
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which political party will be the "tough on AI" party??
- Manifold Markets bewertet The Democratic Party mit 79% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Which political party will be the "tough on AI" party? entschieden?
- Which political party will be the "tough on AI" party? soll am 8. November 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which political party will be the "tough on AI" party? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This is a "vibes" market not a policy analysis market.