Will Elon Musk create a political party in the US by the end of 2026?
PolitikOne-OffUS-PolitikWahl2Mon
FutuurVerfügbarkeit prüfenVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 91%
Nein 91%Marktqualitat
32 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
887,1 €
Niedrige LiquiditätTrader
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ForecastExRegeln
This event predicts whether Elon Musk will formally create or register a political party in the United States at any time between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026 (inclusive).
- For this market, creating a party means formal registration with relevant U.S. electoral authorities.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official filings or announcements confirming party registration.
- If Elon Musk formally registers a political party in the United States during this period, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Statements of intent or informal movements without official registration will not count.
