Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 11.07.2026, 18:22 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-2
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 3.4%
Prognostiker
16
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Tagen
Veraltet14. Juli 23, 23:2631. Dez. 26, 23:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes3%
Volumentrend
$5010. Juli2T Daten11. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
2026 Midterms Election Weirdness
53,4 €Vacant Senate seats at start of term: 25.9%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS2028 Presidency: Vance, Newsom, or Other?
28,9 €Vance (R) defeats Newsom (D): 5.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIf elected, will Graham Platner vote more like John Fetterman or Elizabeth Warren?
9,3 €John Fetterman: 15%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
16,6 €Ja: 17%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the US government take control of any AI company or project before 2030?
0 €Ja: 37%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will an AI professional-impersonation bill become law in New York?
0 €Ja: 8%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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