Aktuelle Community-Prognose
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet23. Dez. 25, 10:08 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the Green Party of England and Wales consistently poll >=20% in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich New Zealand political party leaders will be incumbent on the next Election Day?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk create a political party in the US by the end of 2026?
FutuurBy 2027, will a political party whose platform centers on AI rights get at least 1% of the vote in a national election?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketRegeln
Consistently = enough that Politico's Poll of Polls UK (smooth view) shows any party polling at greater than or equal to 35%, for 14 days in a row, according to the day-by-day hover tool.
- Excepting any obvious data / charting errors on Politico's end.
- All 14 days must fall within 2025 I.e. the streak cannot start on Dec 31st 2025.
- Politico do take time to update their charts, so any 14 day period must remain in place for 14 days after it completes.
- If for any reason Politico's Poll of Polls ceases to function then the backup metric is Wikipedia's UK Polling chart.
Offene Märkte
Politics
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- 957.304,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 760.707,9 €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
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+45 weitere Ergebnisse
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-3.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.9pt45.5%
- Renan Santos1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+2.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-1.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.6pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt37.1%
- Édouard Philippe32%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.4%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- NJ-07 House winner?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will any UK political party consistently poll at 35% or higher in 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 84% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will any UK political party consistently poll at 35% or higher in 2026? entschieden?
- Will any UK political party consistently poll at 35% or higher in 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will any UK political party consistently poll at 35% or higher in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Consistently = enough that Politico's Poll of Polls UK (smooth view) shows any party polling at greater than or equal to 35%, for 14 days in a row, according to the day-by-day hover tool.