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1. Jan. 26, 18:36 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will any UK political party consistently poll at 35% or higher in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the leader of the Green Party of England and Wales going into the next general election?
Manifold Markets2x2: Will Labour get a majority, Will more than 200k houses be built per year, on average, in England and Wales?
Manifold MarketsZack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by which date?
PolymarketWhen will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader?
KalshiWill the New Zealand Green Party get 15.00% of the party vote or more at the 2026 Election?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
The Green Party of England and Wales has been on a tear since Zack Polanski took charge in September, rising from historic averages of 6-7% to highs of 16%.
- Will that rise continue?
- Resolves YES if Greens rises to and then stays at or above 20% in the Politico Poll of Polls for a period of 14 consecutive days, all of which must fall within 2026 (i.e. the streak cannot start after 17th December).
- Otherwise resolves NO on 17th December.