KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Before Jul 1, 2027 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Before Jul 1, 2027 22.5%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Before Jul 1, 2027 22.5%Marktqualitat
44 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Open Interest
2383,6 $
Niedriges Open InterestGeld / Brief
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Before Jul 1, 2027Spread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 25 Minuten
2. Sept. 26, 23:00 UTC1. Nov. 26, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Before Jul 1, 2027
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
If Zack Polanski is leader of the Green Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Green?
Manifold MarketsIf Zack Polanski is not leader of the Green Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Green?
Manifold MarketsWill Zack Polanski be leader of the Green Party after the next leadership election?
Manifold MarketsWill Polanski be leader of the Green Party going into the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsPierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?
KalshiDoug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?
PolymarketRegeln
If the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales has resigned or otherwise left their specified position before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Green Party of England and Wales
- An announcement that the official will leave the office within the next year also resolves the market to Yes.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales has resigned or otherwise left their specified position before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales has resigned or otherwise left their specified position before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales has resigned or otherwise left their specified position before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.