KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätKeine aktiven Kurse
Daten vom 08.09.2026, 17:10 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Jan 1, 2027 11%
Marktqualitat
32 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
335,3 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
2.0% / 9.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
2. Sept. 26, 23:00 UTC1. Nov. 26, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
If Zack Polanski is leader of the Green Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Green?
Manifold MarketsWill Polanski be leader of the Green Party going into the next UK general election?
Manifold MarketsWill Zack Polanski contest a seat in a Parliamentary By-Election before the next General Election?
Manifold MarketsPierre Poilievre out as Conservative Party leader?
KalshiDoug Ford out as PC Party Leader by December 31?
PolymarketSwedish general election: Green Party vote percent
KalshiRegeln
If the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales has resigned or otherwise left their specified position the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Green Party of England and Wales
- An announcement that the official will leave the office within the next year also resolves the market to Yes.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
Offene Märkte
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- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
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+45 weitere Ergebnisse
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- 24h-Volumen
- 411.228,9 €
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- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader??
- Kalshi bewertet Before Jan 1, 2027 mit 11% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader? entschieden?
- When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader? soll am 1. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the Leader of the Green Party of England and Wales has resigned or otherwise left their specified position the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird When will Zack Polanski leave as Green Party leader? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Polymarket gelistet.