Gründet Elon Musk eine politische Partei, bevor Trumps Präsidentschaft endet?
PolitikOne-OffUS PoliticsWahl2JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 91.3%
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Aktualisiert vor 19 Stunden
Veraltet11. Juni 25, 05:57 UTC21. Jan. 29, 11:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Donald Trump OR Marco Rubio visit Cuba before Trump’s presidency ends?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk form his own national-level political party by the 2028 Presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsWhich political party wins the US presidency in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk create a political party in the US by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill Section IV of the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?
KalshiWill the size of the Supreme Court be changed during Trump's Presidency?
KalshiRegeln
This market resolves YES if Elon Musk publicly announces the creation of a new political party before the end of Trump’s current term (January 20, 2029).
- The party must be intended to run candidates in U.S. elections.
- A public announcement reported by credible news sources (e.g. NYT, WSJ, Reuters, CNN, BBC, Bloomberg, AP) or official filings with the FEC will count.
- Speculation, jokes, or offhand remarks do not count unless followed by a formal announcement or filing.
- Update 2025-06-11 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve YES based on the public announcement or FEC filing of a new political party intended to run candidates in U.S. elections, regardless of whether:
- Any candidates ultimately get on the ballot.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Gründet Elon Musk eine politische Partei, bevor Trumps Präsidentschaft endet??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 91% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Gründet Elon Musk eine politische Partei, bevor Trumps Präsidentschaft endet? entschieden?
- Gründet Elon Musk eine politische Partei, bevor Trumps Präsidentschaft endet? soll am 21. Januar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Gründet Elon Musk eine politische Partei, bevor Trumps Präsidentschaft endet? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market resolves YES if Elon Musk publicly announces the creation of a new political party before the end of Trump’s current term (January 20, 2029).