Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Chung Tung-chin 94.7%-3.8ptMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
74 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
3437,9 €
Liquidität
18.624,9 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
89.7% / 90.1%
Spread
0.4 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-5.1 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
14. Aug. 26, 12:56 UTC28. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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KalshiTaiwan presidential election winner?
KalshiRegeln
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).