Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Yu Shu-chen 76.7%Führend unter 5 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
66 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
21 €
Liquidität
30.038,6 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
1
7d-Änderung
-0.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
14. Aug. 26, 13:03 UTC28. Nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Pingtung County Magistrate Election Winner
PolymarketHsinchu County Magistrate Election Winner
PolymarketChanghua County Magistrate Election Winner
PolymarketChina’s government budget balance in 2026
KalshiWill California be an independent nation-state by EOY 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. enact a free trade agreement with China?
KalshiRegeln
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).