Warnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 04:15 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Stephen Grugett, Manifold and MNX 91.3%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Prognostiker
14
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet27. Aug. 26, 22:44 UTC10. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which of these people will be impeached first by the end of 2027?
PolymarketWill these people ever be FIDE world chess champion? (end mid 2044)
Manifold MarketsWhich of these people will attend the 2027 Oscars ceremony?
Manifold MarketsWhich of these people will be alive in the year we get ASI?
Manifold MarketsWhich of these people will say Rationalussy first?
Manifold MarketsWill my friend S successfully run a market on manifold?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
A little background on the event :)
- Voliti Co's Predict 2026 (predict2026.org) is a gathering for people who believe in prediction markets as infrastructure for how the world reasons about the future.
- Built by forecasters, for forecasters, it brings prediction-market-native exchanges, traders, and builders together with researchers, writers, and legal minds for three days of conversation about where the space has been and where it is headed.
- The conference runs December 7–9, 2026, at The Times Center in New York City.
- Some of the programming we’re especially excited about includes Year in Review and Looking Forward talks from the major exchanges, strategy breakdowns from top traders, and new work from researchers studying the space.
- Learn more at Predict2026.org.
