Warnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 09:52 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 78%
Prognostiker
10
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet3. März 26, 20:40 UTC31. Dez. 26, 20:34 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will my friend run out of meal swipes?
Manifold MarketsWill my friend M accept that he doesn´t annoy me?
Manifold MarketsWill my friend deid91 have success on Twitch by 2027?
Manifold MarketsHow many times will my friend and I die in Outward?
Manifold MarketsWill electric vehicles account for a majority of new light vehicles purchased in the United States by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Matt Levine create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
I am talking to my friend S about whether she should register on Manifold and create a market.
- This market will be resolved with YES if S has created and resolved a market by December 31, 2026 (N/A doesn't count).
- If she has created a market by December 31, 2026 that has not yet been resolved, then the deadline will be extended until resolution, provided the market is still active.
- Disclaimer: I will make an initial purchase of NO shares and will not trade further until the market is resolved.
- S may trade on this market.
