Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 78%
Prognostiker
10
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert3. März 26, 20:40 UTC31. Dez. 26, 20:34 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will my friend M accept that he doesn´t annoy me?
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Manifold MarketsHow many times will my friend and I die in Outward?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?
KalshiUS national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
PolymarketRamp AI Index adoption rate in August
KalshiRegeln
I am talking to my friend S about whether she should register on Manifold and create a market.
- This market will be resolved with YES if S has created and resolved a market by December 31, 2026 (N/A doesn't count).
- If she has created a market by December 31, 2026 that has not yet been resolved, then the deadline will be extended until resolution, provided the market is still active.
- Disclaimer: I will make an initial purchase of NO shares and will not trade further until the market is resolved.
- S may trade on this market.
Offene Märkte
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,3 Mio. €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 802.561,8 €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 736.478,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 585.562,7 €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will my friend S successfully run a market on manifold??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 78% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will my friend S successfully run a market on manifold? entschieden?
- Will my friend S successfully run a market on manifold? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will my friend S successfully run a market on manifold? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: I am talking to my friend S about whether she should register on Manifold and create a market.