Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 70.8%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet9. Jan. 23, 18:00 UTC1. Jan. 28, 07:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Bill Gurley create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Tyler Cowen create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill CFTC commissioner Caroline Pham create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?
KalshiWill Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
PolymarketUS national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
Matt Levine, the Bloomberg opinion columnist.
- This is one of a series of markets regarding whether select individuals or organizations that I follow will become Manifold users and create at least one market by the end of 2027 (~5 years).
- The time period is intentionally long, as these markets measure both (i) the propensity of the given person/organization to join Manifold, and (ii) Manifold's anticipated adoption by the public over time.
- To resolve positively, I must be reasonably confident that the Manifold account really is the entity they purport to be.
- IMO, it will be key for Manifold to attract public figures and organizations; this will (i) provide pre-earned credibility for these accounts as market creators (which encourages trading), and (ii) will attract the follower base of these users to Manifold as traders.
Offene Märkte
SportsPOLYMARKETLoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
- Game Handicap: IG (-2.5) vs LGD Gaming (+2.5)+79.0pt100%
- Game 1 Winner+43.0pt100%
- Game 2 Winner+42.5pt100%
+60 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 5,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 4,9 Mio. €
KALSHIUS Open Men's Singles Winner
- Carlos Alcaraz-2.0pt56%
- Alexander Zverev+7.0pt28%
- Ben Shelton9%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 24 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
POLYMARKETUEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion
- Barcelona18.1%
- Real Madrid13.3%
- Paris Saint-Germain13.3%
+33 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 23,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2027 Pro Football Champion
- Los Angeles R14.1%
- Buffalo6.6%
- Seattle6.6%
+29 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 72,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,4 Mio. €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)MLB: Chicago Cubs vs Milwaukee Brewers (Sep 7, 2026)
- MIL+44.0pt99%
- CHC-46.0pt1%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,3 Mio. €
POLYMARKETGenoa: Thiago Seyboth Wild vs Francesco Ferrari
- Ferrari Set 2 Winner59%
- Ferrari Set 1 Winner58%
- Ferrari Match O/U 22.557%
+13 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,2 Mio. €
- MLB: New York Mets vs Miami Marlins (Sep 7, 2026)
- MLB: Arizona Diamondbacks vs Kansas City Royals (Sep 7, 2026)
- Sanchez Jover vs Bueno
- Heisman Trophy Winner
- MLB: Los Angeles Angels vs Boston Red Sox (Sep 7, 2026)
- College Football National Championship Winner
- Amgen Irish Open Winner
- US Open Women's Singles Winner
- LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs
- de Stefano vs Vedder
- MLB: Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles (Sep 7, 2026)
- Counter-Strike: BIG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Matt Levine create a market on Manifold by end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 71% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Matt Levine create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? entschieden?
- Will Matt Levine create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? soll am 1. Januar 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Matt Levine create a market on Manifold by end of 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Matt Levine, the Bloomberg opinion columnist.