Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseLeonardo DiCaprio 81.8%Führend unter 12 Optionen
Prognostiker
5
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet3. Aug. 26, 21:46 UTC15. März 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which of these people will attend the 2026 Emmys ceremony?
Manifold MarketsHow many people will attend Slutcon 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many people will attend Broadway shows during the 2026–27 season?
KalshiHow many people will attend our 20th monthly NYC dinner?
Manifold MarketsBallon d'Or Winner 2026
PolymarketNcaafheisman 26
Robinhood (Rothera)Regeln
You may suggest new options, which I may add.
- Please no obvious suggestions like crew and actors from nominated movies.
- Resolution criteria
- Each option corresponding to an individual will resolve to YES if they attend the 99th Academy Awards (the 2027 Oscars) ceremony, currently scheduled to take place on Sunday, March 14, 2027, at the Dolby Theatre in Los Angeles.
- "Attending" is defined as being present inside the venue during the main ceremony or appearing on the official red carpet event preceding the ceremony.
- Presence will be verified using official broadcast footage, photographic evidence from reputable agencies (such as Getty Images or Associated Press), or reports from major trade publications (such as Variety or The Hollywood Reporter).
Offene Märkte
AwardsPOLYMARKETBallon d'Or Winner 2026
- Harry Kane-0.7pt61.8%
- Lamine Yamal-0.3pt13.7%
- Kylian Mbappé+4.5pt11.8%
+28 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 28,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 360.293,8 €
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Ncaafheisman 26
- DMEN+1.0pt15%
- AMAN+1.0pt11%
- CCAR-2.0pt10%
+28 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIThe Game Awards: 2026 Game of the Year
- Grand Theft Auto VI-2.0pt63.1%
- Resident Evil Requiem+1.0pt11.7%
- Control Resonant7.2%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,7 Mio. €
POLYMARKETBallon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026
- Harry Kane+0.1pt94%
- Lamine Yamal-9.0pt76%
- Kylian Mbappé-8.5pt60%
+28 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIMTV Video Music Awards: Best Alternative
- Olivia Rodrigo-4.0pt61%
- twenty one pilots+7.0pt16.1%
- Noah Kahan-6.0pt9.3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 28.210,8 €
KALSHIMTV Video Music Awards: Best K-Pop
- BTS+2.0pt75%
- LISA+5.0pt11.7%
- BLACKPINK5.8%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 37.362,3 €
- MTV Video Music Awards: Song of The Year
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Latin
- Grammy Winner: Best New Artist
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best New Artist
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Collaboration
- MTV Video Music Awards: Video of the Year
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Country
- MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner
- MTV Video Music Awards: Artist of The Year
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best R&B
- 2026 MTV Video Music Awards: Host
- MTV Video Music Awards: Best Dance
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which of these people will attend the 2027 Oscars ceremony??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Leonardo DiCaprio mit 82% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Which of these people will attend the 2027 Oscars ceremony? entschieden?
- Which of these people will attend the 2027 Oscars ceremony? soll am 15. März 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which of these people will attend the 2027 Oscars ceremony? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: You may suggest new options, which I may add.