Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose2027 USAMO and MOP 72.8%Führend unter 5 Optionen
Prognostiker
9
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet1. Juni 26, 18:02 UTC31. Dez. 26, 18:56 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which of the following will I achieve in the 2026-2027 TST Cycle?
Manifold MarketsWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiWill Eliezer Yudkowsky win his $150,000 - $1,000 bet about UFOs not having a worldview-shattering origin?
Manifold MarketsWill ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIs Earth flat?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves yes to any of these that I achieve.
- If I do not attend pumac, hmmt, cmimc, or arml, the corresponding questions will resolve N/A. previous results:
- Pumac 2025 17th NT, 17th Combo HMMT 2026 79th place, top 50 in algnt and combo CMIMC 2026 5th place geo, few points off of top 10 overall (176 vs 184) ARML 2026 7/10, 11 10 11 11 00 USAJMO 2026 qual (through protection) and mop 30/42
- i reserve the right to bet on this market (but of course i will try my hardest on each of these)