Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Other 30.9%Führend unter 37 Optionen
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Fragetyp
multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet28. Mai 25, 02:12 UTC31. Dez. 30, 02:04 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the first Chinese crewed mission to land on the Moon include a woman?
Manifold MarketsWill a human from any nation other than the United States land on the Moon and successfully return by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX land on the *MOON* by Dec 31st 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
KalshiSpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRegeln
I will continue add months after market creation until Other is not the largest option.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the specific month in which SpaceX's Starship Human Landing System (HLS) successfully lands on the Moon.
- The landing is considered successful when the Starship HLS completes a soft landing on the lunar surface, remains upright and sends a signal .The official confirmation of the landing will be sourced from reputable space agencies or organizations, such as NASA or SpaceX, and reported by major news outlets.
- The Starship HLS is a lunar lander variant of SpaceX's Starship spacecraft, developed under NASA's Artemis program to transport astronauts from lunar orbit to the Moon's surface and back.
- As of May 2025, the first crewed lunar landing using Starship HLS is scheduled for mid-2027 as part of the Artemis III mission.
Offene Märkte
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
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+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 135.247,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
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POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
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+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
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- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
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+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
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+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 324.994,1 €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
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+2 weitere Ergebnisse
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- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
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- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
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- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which month will Starship HLS land on the Moon??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Other mit 31% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Which month will Starship HLS land on the Moon? entschieden?
- Which month will Starship HLS land on the Moon? soll am 31. Dezember 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which month will Starship HLS land on the Moon? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: I will continue add months after market creation until Other is not the largest option.