Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Timor-Leste 100%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Prognostiker
4
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Stunden
Veraltet2. Jan. 25, 18:26 UTC1. Jan. 30, 23:59 UTC
Trends
100%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which countries will join the CPTPP trade agreement before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?
PolymarketNo new countries join the European Union (EU) in 2026
Manifold MarketsWhich countries will join NATO as members in 2026?
FutuurUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketRegeln
The Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) was created in 1967 with five member countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Philippines, Thailand) and has expanded several times since then, most recently when Cambodia became a member in 1999.
- Two countries, the named outcome and Timor-Leste, have observer status, and a number of others have expressed interest in joining.
- This market is about which countries will join the organisation as full members (not just observers) on or before 31 December 2029.
- The official date of accession will be used.
- If ASEAN is renamed, answers can still resolve to YES.
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 470.753,1 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 35,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 100.050,2 €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which countries will join ASEAN before 2030??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Timor-Leste mit 100% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Which countries will join ASEAN before 2030? entschieden?
- Which countries will join ASEAN before 2030? soll am 1. Januar 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which countries will join ASEAN before 2030? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: The Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) was created in 1967 with five member countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, Singapore, Philippines, Thailand) and has expanded several times since then, most recently when Cambodia became a member in 1999.