Aktuelle Community-Prognose
CDU/CSU + SPD + Greens 42%Führend unter 16 Optionen
Prognostiker
36
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet24. Feb. 25, 22:56 UTC31. Dez. 29, 23:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the German government coalition hold until the next federal election in 2029?
Manifold MarketsWhich parties will gain seats in the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsWho will be elected Chancellor after the next German federal election?
Manifold MarketsNext German federal election winner?
KalshiNext Canadian federal election winner?
KalshiWho will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election?
KalshiRegeln
This market pertains to the next German federal election, scheduled to occur on or before 25 March 2029.
- This market will resolve to the first governing coalition that forms following the next German federal election.
- The listed order of parties does not matter, so "the named outcome" is equivalent to "SPD + CDU/CSU".
- "CDU/CSU" refers to the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and the Christian Social Union (CSU) collectively.
- If one of these parties forms a coalition without the other, the market will resolve to the option explicitly listing "CDU" or "CSU" as part of the coalition.
- If no federal election occurs by 2030, or an election is held but no coalition is formed before then, this market will resolve to "the named outcome".
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which coalition will govern Germany after the next federal election??
- Manifold Markets bewertet CDU/CSU + SPD + Greens mit 42% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Which coalition will govern Germany after the next federal election? entschieden?
- Which coalition will govern Germany after the next federal election? soll am 31. Dezember 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which coalition will govern Germany after the next federal election? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market pertains to the next German federal election, scheduled to occur on or before 25 March 2029.