Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseRace 65.1%
Prognostiker
19
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet26. Apr. 25, 02:12 UTC25. Apr. 28, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
By 2028, will any coding copilot look more like "pairing with an LLM" than "smart autocomplete"?
Manifold MarketsWhat will the Supreme Court look like at the end of Trump's term?
KalshiHow will the Ukraine-Russia border look like in 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Dario Amodei write an essay on what powerful AI will look like, and/or when it will arrive, by October 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhat does a typical day look like for you in your role/personal life?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves to poll at market close.
- Participants will vote on whether the events from market creation until April 25, 2028, more closely resemble the "Slowdown" or "Race" endings of AI 2027.