KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Gespeicherter Preis
6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals 74.5%Führend unter 5 Optionen
6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals 74.5%Marktqualitat
50 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
0,5 €
Open Interest
14.495,4 $
Mittleres Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
6 Conservatives and 3 LiberalsSpread
—
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Minuten
9. Nov. 24, 19:00 UTC20. Jan. 29, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 5m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · 6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends?
KalshiWhich Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?
KalshiWill the US Supreme Court substantially strike down rent control during Trump's term?
Manifold MarketsWill a supreme court justice die in office during trump's term?
Manifold MarketsHow will the Ukraine-Russia border look like in 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Dario Amodei write an essay on what powerful AI will look like, and/or when it will arrive, by October 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If on Jan 20, 2029 there are 6 Supreme Court justices appointed by Republican Presidents and 3 Supreme Court justices appointed by Democrats, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Library of Congress
- If there are not nine justices at the time of Expiration, then only the “Not nine justices” strike will resolve to Yes and all other strikes will resolve to No.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- 6 Conservatives and 3 Liberals
- If on Jan 20, 2029 there are 6 Supreme Court justices appointed by Republican Presidents and 3 Supreme Court justices appointed by Democrats, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 7 Conservatives and 2 Liberals
- If on Jan 20, 2029 there are 7 Supreme Court justices appointed by Republican Presidents and 2 Supreme Court justices appointed by Democrats, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Not nine justices
- If at expiration on Jan 20, 2029 the Supreme Court does not have exactly nine sitting justices, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 8 Conservatives and 1 Liberals
- If on Jan 20, 2029 there are 8 Supreme Court justices appointed by Republican Presidents and 1 Supreme Court justices appointed by Democrats, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 9 Conservatives and 0 Liberals
- If on Jan 20, 2029 there are 9 Supreme Court justices appointed by Republican Presidents and 0 Supreme Court justices appointed by Democrats, then the market resolves to Yes.
