When will it be possible to spend $10 million or less to edit your genes to require less sleep?
InflationOne-OffRegulierungHealth & MedicineCrime & JusticeManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose2048-2054 15%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Prognostiker
4
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
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Aktualisiert vor 23 Stunden
Veraltet12. Aug. 26, 00:16 UTC1. Jan. 00, 04:59 UTC
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PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the date on which a gene-editing therapy designed to safely and permanently reduce human sleep requirements becomes commercially or clinically available to consumers for a total cost of $10 million USD or less (including the therapeutic agents and the required medical procedure).
- To satisfy the resolution criteria, the therapy must meet the following conditions:
- Target Mechanism: The therapy must target genetic pathways scientifically associated with sleep duration or sleep efficiency (such as DEC2, ADRB1, NPSR1, GRM1, or equivalent sleep-regulating genes).
- Availability: The treatment must be legally accessible to paying patients, either via approval from a major regulatory body (e.g., the US FDA or EMA) or through a verified, legally operating commercial clinic (including medical tourism).
- Cost: The total retail or out-of-pocket price for a single patient must be publicly documented as $10 million USD or less (adjusted for inflation from 2026).
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für When will it be possible to spend $10 million or less to edit your genes to require less sleep??
- Manifold Markets bewertet 2048-2054 mit 15% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird When will it be possible to spend $10 million or less to edit your genes to require less sleep? entschieden?
- When will it be possible to spend $10 million or less to edit your genes to require less sleep? soll am 1. Januar 2100 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird When will it be possible to spend $10 million or less to edit your genes to require less sleep? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria