Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Before 2036 64.6%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Prognostiker
34
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet26. Feb. 24, 12:55 UTC1. Feb. 32, 22:59 UTC
Trends
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will a nuclear propelled rocket be tested in space before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWho will launch the first crewed space station with functioning artificial gravity (via rotation)?
Manifold MarketsWill any space station have artificial gravity before 2031?
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketAI data center in space by which date?
PolymarketHighest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
When we are thinking of space travel, the first thing that comes to mind is weightlessness.
- Despite how cool it looks, it constitutes one of the big challenges for spaceflight.
- Not only is it harmful for human health, but it also complicates a lot of basic actions like eating or using the toilet.
- A viable solution to this has been known for a long time: rotate a spacecraft or its part to create centrifugal force that emulates gravity.
- So far this has only been tested with smaller centrifuges that couldn't fit a whole human.
- The question will resolve positively as soon as a human-scale centrifuge is tested in space for the first time.
Offene Märkte
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 224.720,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 160.486,9 €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 344.925,6 €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für When will human-scale centrifugal artificial gravity be first tested in space??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Before 2036 mit 65% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird When will human-scale centrifugal artificial gravity be first tested in space? entschieden?
- When will human-scale centrifugal artificial gravity be first tested in space? soll am 1. Februar 2032 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird When will human-scale centrifugal artificial gravity be first tested in space? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: When we are thinking of space travel, the first thing that comes to mind is weightlessness.