Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 98.4%
Prognostiker
28
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet27. Juli 23, 18:03 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will human-scale centrifugal artificial gravity be first tested in space?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Rocket Lab Corporation launch Neutron
KalshiWhen will Blue Origin's New Glenn rocket launch?
KalshiWhen will Rocket Lab’s Neutron make its first flight?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Rocket Lab Neutron launch for the first time?
Manifold MarketsAnother Blue Origin rocket explodes by Oct 31?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves YES if a Nuclear Thermal Rocket (a rocket propelled using heat from a nuclear reaction) reaches space (defined as the Karman line, 100km altitude) before 2027.
- Otherwise NO.
- NASA, DARPA to launch nuclear rocket to orbit by early 2026
- https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/tdm/nuclear-thermal-propulsion/index.html
- [link preview]It is necessary for the rocket to have a propulsion system based on nuclear power.
- It is not necessary that the nuclear propulsion system works.
Offene Märkte
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 103.065,4 €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 57.371,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 57.371,5 €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 817.857 €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will a nuclear propelled rocket be tested in space before 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 98% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will a nuclear propelled rocket be tested in space before 2027? entschieden?
- Will a nuclear propelled rocket be tested in space before 2027? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will a nuclear propelled rocket be tested in space before 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES if a Nuclear Thermal Rocket (a rocket propelled using heat from a nuclear reaction) reaches space (defined as the Karman line, 100km altitude) before 2027.