Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 16.07.2026, 02:10 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseBefore Trump serves time in prison 98.4%Führend unter 25 Optionen
Prognostiker
32
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Tagen
Veraltet7. Apr. 24, 21:501. Jan. 27, 4:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Before the end of Jan 20251%
Volumentrend
$51015. Juli2T Daten16. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
AI program resolves Riemann Hypothesis before 2035
934,7 €Ja: 42%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many years between AI winning IMO and Putnam?
718,3 €Putnam first: 12.7%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill AIs beat human experts in question-answering on the GPQA benchmark before January 1st, 2027?
354 €Ja: 95.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
133,4 €Ja: 57%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
43.561,7 €Before 2027: 7%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
14.479,1 €Ja: 5%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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Resolution criteria same as this polymarket market, except the deadline is different here
- https://polymarket.com/event/will-an-ai-win-the-5-million-ai-math-olympiad-prize-before-august