Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Later or never 28.6%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Prognostiker
6
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet16. Feb. 24, 17:46 UTC31. Dez. 28, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will I finish my stuff on time?
Manifold MarketsWill I drop out of my PhD program?
Manifold MarketsWill I get a tenure-track job offer straight out of my PhD?
Manifold MarketsWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiRegeln
I have been working on it since September 2020, have two publications and one manuscript ready to be published, plus some work-in-progress stuff, and have funding for all of 2024.
- I will use the defense date as the point at which it is "finished".
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für What year will I finish my PhD??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Later or never mit 29% (Stand: 17. September 2026).
- Wann wird What year will I finish my PhD? entschieden?
- What year will I finish my PhD? soll am 31. Dezember 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird What year will I finish my PhD? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: I have been working on it since September 2020, have two publications and one manuscript ready to be published, plus some work-in-progress stuff, and have funding for all of 2024.