Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseDoesn't pass in Senate 30%+15.7ptFührend unter 7 Optionen
Prognostiker
15
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+15.7 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Minuten
3. Sept. 26, 16:5331. Dez. 27, 23:59
Trends
Regeln
Bernie (& Greg Casar) just announced the intention to introduce a bill that would ban the development of ASI. https://www.sanders.senate.gov/press-releases/news-sanders-casar-introduce-legislation-to-ban-artificial-superintelligence-and-temporarily-pause-advanced-ai-development/
- Clarifications:
- I mean specifically a bill introduced by these two people, with very similar aims as that released in the summary: https://www.sanders.senate.gov/wp-content/uploads/Ban-Artificial-Superintelligence-Act-Release-Summary.pdf
- If there is a clear answer before Dec 31 2027, I will resolve then
- If this exact bill fails, but a very similar one draws inspiration, I will reoslve based on the original bill
- For this market, I care only about the bill's continuity as defined by its tracking number.
Offene Märkte
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für What will happen to Bernie's Proposed "Ban ASI" Bill??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Doesn't pass in Senate mit 30% (Stand: 4. September 2026).
- Wann wird What will happen to Bernie's Proposed "Ban ASI" Bill? entschieden?
- What will happen to Bernie's Proposed "Ban ASI" Bill? soll am 31. Dezember 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird What will happen to Bernie's Proposed "Ban ASI" Bill? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Bernie (& Greg Casar) just announced the intention to introduce a bill that would ban the development of ASI. https://www.sanders.senate.gov/press-releases/news-sanders-casar-introduce-legislation-to-ban-artificial-superintelligence-and-temporarily-pause-advanced-ai-development/