Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseAcquired by Paramount 90.3%+54.6ptFührend unter 5 Optionen
Prognostiker
15
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+54.6 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Minuten
17. Dez. 25, 13:40 UTC30. Juni 27, 13:27 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
2027 Q2 means the end of the second quarter of 2027, aka approx 18 months from today.
- the named outcome means there is a purchase agreement in place but it is currently waiting for FCC or anti-trust lawsuits to go through.
- I asked ChatGPT what is the theoretical timeline once shareholders are onboard and he gives me:
- Optimistic (everything goes smoothly):
- ~9–12 months
- Base case (Second Request + remedies):
Offene Märkte
AI
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.2pt69.2%
- ChatGPT+1.6pt14.4%
- Gemini-1.3pt9.6%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 10,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 125.416,7 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+9.0pt78%
- December 15,+9.5pt74%
- November 30,+4.0pt54%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 202791%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt89%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-1.0pt82%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,9 Mio. €
POLYMARKETNext Claude Opus released on?
- September 21+61.1pt87.9%
- No release by September 30-10.7pt4%
- September 22-26.9pt1%
+13 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude92.5%
- ChatGPT0.9%
- Amazon Nova0.9%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 156.321,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 26.110,1 €
POLYMARKETWill OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
- December-13.0pt28%
- October-14.0pt7%
- December 31, 2025-0.2pt0%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- Stanley Cup Finals Winner
- Best AI in Sep 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für What will be the Warner Discovery situation by 2027 Q2??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Acquired by Paramount mit 90% (Stand: 21. September 2026).
- Wann wird What will be the Warner Discovery situation by 2027 Q2? entschieden?
- What will be the Warner Discovery situation by 2027 Q2? soll am 30. Juni 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird What will be the Warner Discovery situation by 2027 Q2? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: 2027 Q2 means the end of the second quarter of 2027, aka approx 18 months from today.