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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Regulierung
  3. U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

14.5% (24h)RegulierungKIOne-OffUS Politics6Mon
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja
Ja 29%+0.1%
Marktqualitat

28 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

12,1 €

Liquidität

792,5 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

14.0% / 44.0%

Spread

214.3%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

+19.5%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten

12. Nov. 25, 22:1131. Dez. 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Yes29%

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • - Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
  • - Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
  • - Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
  • - Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
  • Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".

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Which Companies will officially announce an IPO this year?

Which Companies will officially announce an IPO this year?

236,9 €
OpenAI: 56%KalshiKALSHI
Anthropic IPO by __?

Anthropic IPO by __?

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December 31,: 90%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?

When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?

604,6 €
Before Aug 1, 2026: 3%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

OpenAI highest valuation by end of June 2026

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≥$0.6T: 100%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Elon's Tesla promises, Q1 26 Prop Bets

130 €
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When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

78,1 €
Before Oct 1, 2026: 57%KalshiKALSHI

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,811.98+2.51%EthereumETH$1,657.02+2.26%SolanaSOL$65.17+2.61%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.73%BNBBNB$598.94+2.41%XRPXRP$1.12+0.89%

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Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a bill that includes at least one of the following provisions is signed into federal law in the United States by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • - Prohibition on Creation or Release: Forbids the creation or release of specific AI systems or models.
  • - Training Restrictions: Sets limits on how AI systems can be trained, such as restricting access to previously available training data or imposing a maximum limit on the number of parameters used for training.
  • - Usage Restrictions: Prevents AI systems from being used in certain applications, such as interacting with customers, interfacing with other applications, or performing actions on the web.
  • - Human-in-the-Loop Requirements: Requires AI systems to include mechanisms ensuring human oversight or involvement in their operation.
  • Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".