Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNo genocide, but non-incitement breaches of the convention 28.5%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Prognostiker
6
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet22. Aug. 25, 13:55 UTC1. Jan. 40, 14:52 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves when the ICJ issues its final merits Judgment in Case 192, “Application of the Convention on the Prevention and Punishment of the Crime of Genocide in the Gaza Strip (South Africa v.
- Israel).” Source for resolution: the ICJ case page (Judgment document once posted). https://www.icj-cij.org/case/192 (icj-cij.org)
- Exactly one option resolves Yes, using this precedence:
- Genocide — If the Court finds Israel internationally responsible for committing genocide under Article II (by its organs/agents or conduct attributable to the state), this option resolves Yes; all others No. Resolution is based solely on the final Judgment’s dispositive paragraphs. https://www.icj-cij.org/case/192 (icj-cij.org)
- the named outcome — If the Court finds any breach other than Article III(c) (e.g., failure to prevent or punish genocide under Article I, complicity Art.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für What will be the outcome of the South Africa vs Israel ICJ case?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No genocide, but non-incitement breaches of the convention mit 29% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird What will be the outcome of the South Africa vs Israel ICJ case entschieden?
- What will be the outcome of the South Africa vs Israel ICJ case soll am 1. Januar 2040 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird What will be the outcome of the South Africa vs Israel ICJ case abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria