What organization will first create superintelligence?

Häufige Fragen

Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für What organization will first create superintelligence??

Manifold Markets bewertet Anthropic mit 30.6% (Stand: 26. Oktober 2026).

Wann wird What organization will first create superintelligence? entschieden?

What organization will first create superintelligence? soll am 2. Januar 2100 entschieden werden.

Wie wird What organization will first create superintelligence? abgerechnet?

Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Subsidiaries will resolve to the "main" organization.

Diesen Markt im Code oder in einem KI-Agenten nutzen

Kostenloses JSON zu diesem Markt, ohne API-Schlüssel:

KI-Agenten: pm_data_event über den MCP-Server von CoinRithm aufrufen:

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google-3.8pt88.7%
• Anthropic+1.8pt10.3%
• OpenAI+0.5pt1%

+18 weitere Ergebnisse

Gesamtvolumen

3,2 Mio. €

24h-Volumen

138.002,1 €

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-3.0pt28%
• $2.0–$2.25T+3.8pt22%
• $1.5–$1.75T-2.2pt17%

+7 weitere Ergebnisse

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+8.0pt83%
• December 15,+9.0pt82%
• November 30,-2.0pt60%

+9 weitere Ergebnisse

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+1.2pt55.5%
• Gemini-3.4pt31.8%
• ChatGPT-0.2pt

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+3.0pt53.5%
• Google-3.0pt36.4%
• OpenAI-0.3pt6.1%

+12 weitere Ergebnisse

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 202794%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt92%
• Before Feb 1, 202788.5%

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on?
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• GPT Astra 6.1+: HLE-Diamond Debut?
• Best AI this week
• What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
• Best AI in Oct 2026?
• Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
• When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
• What will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?