Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose11-20% 33%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Prognostiker
37
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet25. Aug. 23, 21:31 UTC26. Juni 31, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Fraction of US residents in cities increases between 2025 and 2035?
Manifold MarketsNobel Prize awarded for Ozempic (or GLP-1 drugs) by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will CMS announce the addition of GLP-1 drugs for obesity to Part D?
KalshiWill at least 90% of US adults believe the president inaugurated in 2029 was legitimately elected?
Manifold MarketsWhat share of US adults will use generative AI at least weekly by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsPandemic in 2026?
KalshiRegeln
I will take the best estimate I can find and try to have the numbers represent the facts at the end of the year.
