Will at least 90% of US adults believe the president inaugurated in 2029 was legitimately elected?
PolitikOne-OffUS-PolitikWahl2J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 83.2%
Prognostiker
23
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet18. Mai 26, 22:47 UTC28. Feb. 29, 22:59 UTC
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KalshiRegeln
At the end of 2024, 85% of US adult citizens believed Donald Trump legitimately won the 2024 US presidential election, according to YouGov, while 15% did not.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if at least 90% of US adults believe the president inaugurated on 20 January 2029 legitimately won the 2028 US presidential election.
- This market will resolve NO if more than 10% of US adults believe the president inaugurated on 20 January 2029 did not legitimately win the 2028 US presidential election.
- Clarifications
- This market will resolve according to the most recently published YouGov poll to ask this question (or one with a substantially similar meaning) at the end of February 2029.
