Will at least 90% of US adults believe the president inaugurated in 2029 was legitimately elected?
PolitikOne-OffUS PoliticsWahl2JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 83.2%
Prognostiker
23
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet18. Mai 26, 22:47 UTC28. Feb. 29, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the United States still be at war with Iran when the next Democratic president is inaugurated?
Manifold MarketsPrior offices of the President inaugurated in 2029?
KalshiWill the > 1/3 of US adults believe we are living in a computer simulation by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWhat share of US adults will use generative AI at least weekly by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRegeln
At the end of 2024, 85% of US adult citizens believed Donald Trump legitimately won the 2024 US presidential election, according to YouGov, while 15% did not.
- Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve YES if at least 90% of US adults believe the president inaugurated on 20 January 2029 legitimately won the 2028 US presidential election.
- This market will resolve NO if more than 10% of US adults believe the president inaugurated on 20 January 2029 did not legitimately win the 2028 US presidential election.
- Clarifications
- This market will resolve according to the most recently published YouGov poll to ask this question (or one with a substantially similar meaning) at the end of February 2029.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 697.653 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will at least 90% of US adults believe the president inaugurated in 2029 was legitimately elected??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 83% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will at least 90% of US adults believe the president inaugurated in 2029 was legitimately elected? entschieden?
- Will at least 90% of US adults believe the president inaugurated in 2029 was legitimately elected? soll am 28. Februar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will at least 90% of US adults believe the president inaugurated in 2029 was legitimately elected? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: At the end of 2024, 85% of US adult citizens believed Donald Trump legitimately won the 2024 US presidential election, according to YouGov, while 15% did not.