Will the United States still be at war with Iran when the next Democratic president is inaugurated?
PolitikOne-OffWahlNaher OstenGeopolitik2J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 87.5%
Prognostiker
5
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet7. Apr. 26, 17:26 UTC20. Jan. 29, 12:00 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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PolymarketRegeln
This market will only resolve no once:
- the media consensus is that the Iran war is over (not just a ceasefire), OR
- a temporary ceasefire has gone on for 365 contiguous days.
- Otherwise, it will resolve yes when the next Democratic party nominee for President is inaugurated and there is not an active ceasefire.
- If a ceasefire is ongoing at the time of inauguration, this market will not resolve until either the ceasefire ends or it reaches 365 contiguous days (inclusive of days prior to inauguration).